According to the latest forecast released by FGOALS-f2 sub-seasonal to seasonal seamless prediction system of the Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, 2021-2022 La Nina event still has great influence on global climate anomalies. It’s expected to be wetter condition across Nepal in this summer (2022 JJA), where precipitation anomalies ranges more than 0-20 % over eastern Nepal and 20-50 % across western Nepal, so the severe flooding events are expected across Nepal. The rainfall in the southern part of Sri Lanka is expected to be low, and there is a potential drought risk. Most part of Pakistan will have less precipitation and high temperature especially in northern Pakistan, which indicates the regional drought events and is highly recommended to be prepared for extreme weather. 

Figure 1. The precipitation anomaly percentage (%) predicted by ANSO-MISSPAD for Summer 2022.

More information:

lThe Multi-model-Integrated Subseasonal-to-Seasonal Prediction and Application in Disaster Risk Reduction

lThe FGOALS-f2 Subseasonal to Seasonal Ensemble Prediction System

Copywriter: FAN Yalan (BNU), Dipendra Lamichhane and TANG Yao

Review: BAO Qing

Picture: FAN Yalan（BNU）